Cash game, White owns the cube.
White to play 6-1.
In this position, Black has managed to build a full 6-prime, and White has one checker trapped behind it. A single checker behind a full prime is normally a pretty bad position. If Black could escape all his back checkers and arrange them on top of his prime, while White just filled in his board, Black would be about a 90-10 favorite, with gammon chances in the 5% to 6% range.
Fortunately, Black hasn’t yet escaped all his checkers, which gives White some extra resources. In fact, if he makes the right play here, his winning chances bounce up into the 25% range! That’s a hefty increase, so let’s see if we can figure out the best way to proceed.